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Tuesday |
All sessions are held in the BIS Conference Centre, 1 Victoria Street, London, SW1H 0ET | ||
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08:50 - 09:40 |
Registration and Coffee |
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09:40 - 10:10 |
1. Opening Session |
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Opening remarks |
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Dr Veronica Bowman |
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Conference Chair |
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Welcome |
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Prof. Bernard Silverman |
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Chief Scientific Advisor to the Home Office |
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10.10 - 11:10 |
2. Calculating Uncertainty |
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Where the numbers meet the road - uncertainty at the frontiers of finance |
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Prof. Michael Mainelli |
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The Z/Yen Group |
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Prof. Simon French |
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University of Warwick |
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11:10 - 11:35 |
Coffee |
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Statistical tools for analysing uncertainty in computer model predictions |
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Prof. Jeremy Oakley |
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University of Sheffield |
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12:05 - 13:00 |
3. Case Studies |
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Mr Rob Solly |
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Dstl |
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Dr Andrew Rose |
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Lubrizol |
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Dashboards to calculate, explore and communicate uncertainty |
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Mr Martin Owen |
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GlaxoSmithKline |
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13:00 - 13:45 |
Lunch |
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13.45 - 15:15 |
4. Communicating Uncertainty |
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Communicating risk and uncertainty - the need for a strategic approach |
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Prof. Nick Pidgeon |
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University of Cardiff |
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Communicating the Uncertainty in Everyday Weather Forecasting |
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Mr Paul Davies |
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Met Office Chief Meteorologist |
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Exploration of tsunami risks through mapping, movies and uncertainty quantification of flooding surfaces |
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Dr Serge Guillas |
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University College London |
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15:15 - 15:40 |
Tea |
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15.40 - 16:50 |
5. Case Studies |
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Mr Joseph Egan |
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Public Health England |
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Independent thinking: uncertainty and risk from single points of failure |
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Mr Rob Ashmore |
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Dstl |
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Decision making under uncertainty in the retrofit analysis of the UK housing stock: implications for the Green Deal |
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Dr Ruchi Choudhary |
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University of Cambridge |
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Mr Glenn Everett |
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Office for National Statistics |
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16:50 - 17:30 |
6. Keynote |
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Prof. Sir David Spiegelhalter |
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Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, University of Cambridge |
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17:30 - 19:00 |
Posters and Wine Reception |
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Wednesday |
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09:00 - 11:00 |
4. Breakout Sessions - Talks |
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Four problem areas will be outlined and explored within separate breakout sessions. These problem areas have been carefully chosen so that they will benefit from examination by an expert audience and ways forward are expected to be identifiable within the timeframe. Attendance at a session is encouraged to broaden understanding and initiate collaboration. This session will cover presentations relevant to the problem area. |
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11:00 - 12:30 |
5. Breakout Sessions - Discussions |
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Focussed discussions on the four problem areas will be undertaken with the aim of outlining potential ways forward and areas of required research and collaboration. Where possible focus groups will be set up to move these areas forward. Coffee will be served during this session. |
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